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[PowerLine] SETTLED SCIENCE: LIBERALS MORE CLOSED-MINDED AND INTOLERANT THAN CONSERVATIVES

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Os Trigonum, Jan 24, 2019.

  1. fchowd0311

    fchowd0311 Contributing Member

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    Ya, I was being sarcastic. Hence why I referenced your insincere moral dilemma of "intolerance".
     
  2. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    you keep questioning my sincerity. on what basis?
     
  3. fchowd0311

    fchowd0311 Contributing Member

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    Because you are purposefully replacing the term "intolerance" with "disagreeing". Unlike the people that I am "not tolerant" of, I really don't express a desire for the government to oppress their expression or have a desire to "get out". I just vehemently disagree with them. I know you know this.

    It's a common tactic expressed by trolls online. You express a mere disagreement and they retort "why are you trying to restrict my freedom of speech!??"

    Are you "intolerant" of Nazi ideology? And if you are, does that make you "intolerant"? If so, then does the term "intolerance" really have a moral claim to it at all?
     
  4. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    another day another data point

     
  5. Rashmon

    Rashmon Contributing Member

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    You must have been an awful Democrat...
     
  6. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    another data point

     
  7. jcf

    jcf Member

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    What is the criteria for good vs bad?
     
  8. Aleron

    Aleron Contributing Member

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    Well there's Jon Haidt's research, where the evidence suggests the left simply doesn't understand the right, whereas the right does understand the left.

    Basically what he did was ask a series of questions, and then had them answer, what do you think, and then what do you think a person of the other political leaning thinks, which was used as the basis for his moral foundations hypothesis.

    From there, they've develop a huge dataset, which does indeed demonstrate that the left has lower tolerance, which really shouldn't be surprising given that inability to understand people has been a constant source of conflict for the existence of the human race.
     
  9. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    Judy Curry addressed the topic of what she calls "climate hypochondria" in her Congressional testimony yesterday, here she quotes from the IPCC AR5:

    First, the climate hypochondriacs. Some people (including one of the Members) took issue with the following statement in my testimony:

    “Based upon our current assessment of the science, the threat does not seem to be an existential one on the time scale of the 21st century, even in its most alarming incarnation.”

    I referred to AR5 WGII:

    “Every single catastrophic scenario considered by the IPCC AR5 (WGII, Table 12.4) has a rating of very unlikely or exceptionally unlikely and/or has low confidence. The only tipping point that the IPCC considers likely in the 21stcentury is disappearance of Arctic summer sea ice (which is fairly reversible, since sea ice freezes every winter).”

    In hindsight, I should have hit this a bit harder. See my previous posts:
    The IPCC AR5 refers to ‘reasons for concern.’ I won’t rehash my previous posts here, take a look.

    Thinking that catastrophes like major hurricane landfalls, massive forest fires etc. will be ‘cured’ by eliminating fossil fuel emissions is laughable. Well its not really funny. Thinking that eliminating fossil fuel emissions will ‘solve’ the problem of extreme weather events is very sad, sort of on the level of doing rain dances. Every thing that goes wrong, they blame on fossil fuel driven climate change.

    Imagine how surprised they would be if we were ever to be successful at eliminating fossil fuel emissions, and then we still had bad weather!​

    https://judithcurry.com/2019/02/07/climate-hypochondria-and-tribalism-vs-winning/
     
  10. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"

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    Hi, @Os Trigonum. I'm not really down with continuing beyond what I already tried to type out as collegially and as clearly as I could. So, this will be my last (I hope?) climate related post after hundreds of very useless posts over the years on this topic. So don't beat yourself up for not "hitting something harder." It would not have made much of a dent on my old head in any case.

    I would listen to Judith Curry before Steph Curry, for sure, but otherwise, I can see no valid reason to value her views over those of hundreds of other climate scientists. You are still focusingkeenly (at least on this topic, on this BBS) on people like Judith Curry who espouses a contrarian view that you seem to really resonate with. That's fine. And you still seem more interested in the sociology and psychology and the politics and the argument than just the basic science. That's okay too. But we're orthogonal in that sense and would really only talk past each other.

    I could recommend hundreds of different names. Here's just one I would trust a lot more than Curry, based on lifetime work and having met him and talked with him, and moreover him having advised 7 different presidential administrations on the issue of climate. He's now deceased, but you can find his very even-handed, bipartisan-leaning, clearly explained take on the whole thing all over the place. Here he is:
    https://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/References/Biography.html

    And if anyone is interested in a good level-headed summary of the consensus and what the rest of this century will probably be like, the excellent magazine New Scientist has just finished publishing a three part series on what the next +1.5 ˚C will manifest on the globe.
    As I've said probably 100 times, I hope the consensus is wrong. I hope Schneider and all the others are WRONG. I hope the models are wrong.

    In sum, I've looked at this data for 30 years though it's not my field. I've had numerous conversations with people who are deeply embedded in it. I've attended deep-dive talks into the data and the analysis and the modeling. I think the consensus carries a lot of weight. Until that consensus suddenly changes, or substantially updated data trends arrive, I don't personally see a need to re-examine my take on it. I'm just too busy and am interested in other things. And I know I won't convince anyone of anything here in any event.

    But let me share what I've observed from the skeptic / denialist community over 30 years. It's been a stepwise evolution, and I don't think I'm exaggerating.

    1. Oh, it is not warming. You are crazy. The data is too noisy and you aren't doing it right. (Muller even started here, kind of.) A few ppm of CO2 is so tiny compared to all the other atmospheric components -- give us a break!
    2. Okay, it was warming. We can see that. But now it's stopped -- the pause! -- and you can't explain it. If you can't explain the last few years, then your models are full of crap.
    3. Okay, okay. everything is still warming, but there's no reliable way you can say humans have anything to do with that.
    4. Okay, okay, okay. Humans have some role in all this, but it's a minor role, at most. Again, it's only whatever hundred ppm, a trace gaseous component. You guys are crazy.
    5. Well, humans may play a major role, but you cannot say they are 100% of the cause, you alarmists. And the change will happen so slowly that you need to just relax. It's not going to be a big deal. (I think this is where you personally are right now. And I hope it won't be a big deal.)

    The argument for the sake of argument is evolving, as those kinds of pursuits always do. The political and semantic goalposts just move and move. We see the same thing with certain political administrations, in real time.

    Now, the scientific consensus has updated measurements and predictions, and they've been ridiculed for adjusting semantics (global warming to climate change, as if that was a conspiracy, sigh), but the message has been really consistent: if we keep putting carbon in this atmosphere of ours, we will retain more heat on our planet than we reflect and emit to space. Therefore, there will be warming and more energy in the atmosphere and we will see tangible effects. That message has not changed in 30 years, as far as I can tell. Contrast that to the contrarian sequence.

    If I may, I can point out something even in this current thread between us. It seems to me you went from discounting climate scientists b/c they don't really seem that worried or modifying their own behavior to (after I posted some info about those scientists) this new one: okay, they do seem worried, but Curry says pathologically so! Again, that's okay with me, and maybe there's an interesting point to be made about group psychology but it doesn't interest me much in this case. The nuance of argument and social factors pale, to me, against the mountain of data and basic science of the greenhouse gases. The useful and interesting policy argument now would probably be about mitigation and adaptation.

    Cheers.

    EDIT: Just to be clear, I read your original replies (the ones that ran up against our word limit :)). I appreciated you sharing all those thoughts, and I've enjoyed some of our other exchanges too. I agreed with some points and disagreed with others. So the msg above is less a judgment on that earlier stuff but it's just me saying "here's all I've got for ya, and I prob ain't reading more Curry, not even Seth or Aisha."
     
    #110 B-Bob, Feb 7, 2019
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2019
    Rashmon and KingCheetah like this.
  11. DaDakota

    DaDakota If you want to know, just ask!

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    Liberals are just smarter and more educated, so they know they are right.

    DD
     
  12. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    as always I appreciate the thoughtful response. Just one comment, I take it you realize that Curry in the excerpt is actually citing the consensus view, at least as expressed by the IPCC:

    “Every single catastrophic scenario considered by the IPCC AR5 (WGII, Table 12.4) has a rating of very unlikely or exceptionally unlikely and/or has low confidence. The only tipping point that the IPCC considers likely in the 21stcentury is disappearance of Arctic summer sea ice (which is fairly reversible, since sea ice freezes every winter).”​

    I don't have much else to add either. Again, I really appreciate your thoughtful responses.
     
    B-Bob likes this.
  13. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    another day another data point

     
  14. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Contributing Member

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    [​IMG]
     
  15. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    another day another data point

     
  16. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    How do you pretend that a corporate campus is a benefit to the poor?
     
  17. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    go to Chelsea Market at lunchtime and tell me whether or not Google has had an effect on the local neighborhood.
     
  18. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    it may surprise you that I also know a fair number of people over the years who have been involved in the redevelopment of Roosevelt Island. I believe that project has also had, and will continue to have, some net positive ripple effects on the surrounding area and local residents.
     
  19. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    The meat market isn't a residential area - there are no poor living there.
     
  20. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    ok
     

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