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Personally I'd rather have judges. Juries can do all kinds of weird things too. AIso so much of this is procedural and technical that juries would...
This is a good reference for election night. There are some additional things to watch for but as a general primer, this is a good trend to watch...
I posted in the other thread but this is a strange poll. Also Trump is winning by 7 in this poll so underperforming Trump by 3 is a bad sign. That...
There are some weird things about this poll. DMR polls are normally the best in Iowa and they did correctly call the 2016 result but there are...
They're going to run the 2010 playbook again. Republicans are going to pivot to campaigning against the stimulus (like they did in 2010) and just...
It'll be interesting to see how the US plays a factor if Biden wins. I'm assuming a Biden win would lead to a return of US diplomatic involvement...
A lot of those business were struggling even before Covid hit and many were already closing once their leases were up. Commercial rent in that...
Uptown MInneapolis is 100% Gringo nowadays.
That's what they'll ideally want to do but if Trump is just acting like a lunatic, I think it will be hard to make that pivot. If Trump dominates...
One other thing that isn't discussed enough is that Trump is still president when the Georgia runoffs occur. So if Trump loses, he'll probably do...
Well we'll see. Normally I'd agree but if the suburban shift is supercharged this time, I'm not sure that will be the case. I actually feel...
Monmouth came out with a Georgia poll just now that largely mirrors this result so maybe this is more real than I thought. And Monmouth's previous...
I think this might be a bit too high on the Democrats but I think its fair to consider both toss ups. The big question will be what the runoff...
Yup he basically endorsed Trump's wacky conspiracy theories about counting votes after election day and he specifically referenced the right of...
If the Democrats do add new members to the Supreme Court, I wonder if they would just add three and make it an even 6-6 split. An even numbered...
And right on queue, the Supreme Court overrules a lower court ruling that allowed ballots to arrive after election day in Wisconsin. However,...
Unfortunately they can't. Texas has a nonsensical process where if a redistricting bill isn't passed (which is likely if there is a split house...
Actually the Texas House is an example of gerrymandering failing spectacularly. Beto won a majority of Texas state house districts despite losing...
Pollsters in general have a problem polling Hispanic voters. Nevada is probably the most classic example (NYT/Sienna got this one wrong in 2018 as...
If 2018 is any indication, the Sienna polls in October 2018 consistently understated support for Democrats. They were consistently off on all of...
