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[ESPN] PLAYOFF TEAM RATINGS

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Air Langhi, Oct 2, 2018.

  1. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

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    #1 Air Langhi, Oct 2, 2018
    WhoDatStrosfan, everyday eddie and Killatron 2000 like this.
  2. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    Thought about posting this morning.

    They have us as heavy favorites at 32%. Dodgers follow at 22% with Red Sox at 13%.
     
    #2 juicystream, Oct 2, 2018
  3. lnchan

    lnchan Sugar Land Leonard

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    #3 lnchan, Oct 2, 2018
  4. mikol13

    mikol13 Hoo Hoo Hoo Hoosiers!
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    Posted in the game thread, but since these are being posted here...
     
    #4 mikol13, Oct 2, 2018
    Rodman23 likes this.
  5. Wulaw Horn

    Wulaw Horn Member

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    I have no idea what the hell ESPN is doing with us at a 32% chance to win the world series, that is frankly, insane.
    the guys that have us as the favorite at 24 and 22% make much more sense.
    It's all basically a coin flip as far as I'm concerned.
     
    #5 Wulaw Horn, Oct 2, 2018
    BigM and SWTsig like this.
  6. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    A coin flip would be 50%

    But I'm guessing you mean each round, which would become 12.5%.
     
    #6 juicystream, Oct 2, 2018
  7. Buck Turgidson

    Buck Turgidson Member

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    Home teams in MLB win at a 54% clip though, so where is this coin flip going to happen?
     
    #7 Buck Turgidson, Oct 2, 2018
  8. The Hunted

    The Hunted Member

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    #8 The Hunted, Oct 2, 2018
    Harrisment likes this.
  9. Buck Turgidson

    Buck Turgidson Member

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    Stros do wear orange....
     
    #9 Buck Turgidson, Oct 2, 2018
  10. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    But at least we'll carry the popular vote.
     
    #10 juicystream, Oct 2, 2018
  11. Wulaw Horn

    Wulaw Horn Member

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    Yes, that's exactly what I mean- each round (in the AL playoffs at least) essentially looks like a coin flip (so call it about 25% to get out of the AL) and then call it a 3 out of 5 advantage in the World Series. Maybe we are slightly better than a coin flip against the Tribe, Yanks and A's. 22 or 24 percent looks right to me. ESPN's 1 out of 3 is absurd.
     
    #11 Wulaw Horn, Oct 2, 2018
  12. Wulaw Horn

    Wulaw Horn Member

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    54% is "basically" a coin flip as far as I'm concerned. Especially if you go ahead and give them back the coinflip for the road games which means, yeah, it's very much a narrow margin however you want to prognosticate a playoff series. Hold on to your butts boys playoff baseball isn't for the weak of heart.
     
    #12 Wulaw Horn, Oct 2, 2018
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  13. SWTsig

    SWTsig Member

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    32% chance is definitely absurd... 20-22% sounds about right. we should definitely have the highest odds given our pitching but baseball is a random sport that anything above that feels entirely unrealistic.
     
    #13 SWTsig, Oct 3, 2018
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  14. Buck Turgidson

    Buck Turgidson Member

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    It was a joke about where your coinflip would take place, you know, better odds at home and whatnot. Sorry it was taken seriously.
     
    #14 Buck Turgidson, Oct 3, 2018
  15. Wulaw Horn

    Wulaw Horn Member

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    I’m learning around here still as a newish guy. There are plenty of pedants on the internet who will go to war over whether it’s fair to classify 54% as basically a coin flip.
     
    #15 Wulaw Horn, Oct 4, 2018
  16. mikol13

    mikol13 Hoo Hoo Hoo Hoosiers!
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    #16 mikol13, Oct 4, 2018
  17. The Real Shady

    The Real Shady Member

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    Astros never get respect.... oh wait, nvm.

    Our Off WAR is better than Boston's?
     
    #17 The Real Shady, Oct 4, 2018
  18. mikol13

    mikol13 Hoo Hoo Hoo Hoosiers!
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    #18 mikol13, Oct 4, 2018
  19. The Real Shady

    The Real Shady Member

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    I wish I had that confidence. I'm more worried about the Indians and their starting pitching than the Yankees or Red Sox.
     
    #19 The Real Shady, Oct 4, 2018
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