1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

  2. ROCKETS GAMEDAY
    We get another Amen Thompson vs. Tyler Herro matchup as the Rockets take on the Heat in Miami Saturday. Come join Dave and Ben with Paulo Alves as they recap the game.

    LIVE! ClutchFans on YouTube

TARP Repayment

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Major, Jun 9, 2009.

  1. Major

    Major Member

    Joined:
    Jun 28, 1999
    Messages:
    42,144
    Likes Received:
    17,085
    For those of you who insisted the $700B bailout was a financial boondoggle where we wouldn't see a single penny returned.

    $350B or so never got distributed.

    $200B was distributed through normal means to banks. Of that, it was announced today that $68B is going to be repaid soon, with interest (dividends). Plus, the gov't owns warrants in those companies which will have to be bought back by the firms.

    I'm not sure where the other $150B went - I assume that's the car bailouts and then the special circumstance investments like Citi, though I'm not positive.

    So, at present, the cost is at $282B so far instead of $700B, minus whatever profit the gov't has made on dividends and warrants. $132B is still outstanding in normal TARP distributions that are likely to be repaid w/ interest. Then there's the $150B in car/Citi money, on which the return is unclear.
     
  2. juicystream

    juicystream Member

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2001
    Messages:
    30,976
    Likes Received:
    7,692
    Major, you know the vast amount of money they are getting back is money from those who didn't need a bailout. This makes 32 banks out of the over 600 that received funds. Will Citi, GMAC, or BOA ever pay back their bailout funds?
     
  3. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2002
    Messages:
    44,256
    Likes Received:
    4,001
    TARP is gonna cost fifty billion gazillion katrillion over time OMGOMG, my great great great great great grandchildren is gonna be payin for this Socialist Prez.

    [​IMG]
     
  4. juicystream

    juicystream Member

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2001
    Messages:
    30,976
    Likes Received:
    7,692
    You know as well as anyone that TARP was passed under the Bush regime, and our great grandchildren will be paying for the Stimulus plan. Don't let your sarcastic Republican fear mongering cloud the truth. You will confuse T_J that way.
     
  5. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2002
    Messages:
    44,256
    Likes Received:
    4,001

    you're right, but I'm talking all the estimates that came out after the original plan that were counting short term loans and guaranties as money that was going to have to be repaid over the long term associated with the bailouts.
     
  6. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2000
    Messages:
    21,989
    Likes Received:
    6,755
    If the government hadn't bailed out AIG, I would like to see how some these banks like GS would have done.
     
  7. deepblue

    deepblue Member

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2002
    Messages:
    1,648
    Likes Received:
    5
    This is certainly good news, money coming back with interest. Which we may never see with the auto bailouts.

    Which begs the question, what will Geithner do going forward essentially holding this huge revolving credit line? Remember people were predicting 700B weren't enough and Paulson/Geithner would have to come back for more.
     
  8. Major

    Major Member

    Joined:
    Jun 28, 1999
    Messages:
    42,144
    Likes Received:
    17,085
    Absolutely - but we're also talking about repayment 7 months after they got the money. The original expected timeframe for repayment was several years, so that initial repayment is a good first step. The other banks will continue to pay interest on the money that they have borrowed. Citi is a tough case - they are likely to have the most problems. BOA probably will - they just raised $30 billion over the last month or two fairly easily. I don't really know anything about GMAC or how healthy/unhealthy they are, so I can't really comment there.

    But the anti-TARP people were insistent that this was going to cost $700B, that it was simply free money being given out to the financial sector, and that we wouldn't see a single penny back. It's becoming pretty clear that the gloom and doom wasn't the case. The total cost appears to be a fraction of the $700B at worst, and it remains an open question if there will be any net cost at the end of the day (though it's likely there will be simply because of the auto bailout money).
     
  9. wakkoman

    wakkoman Member

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2003
    Messages:
    2,935
    Likes Received:
    80
    Weren't you one of the people who didn't believe the government would be paid back much at all?

    There were only 3-4 people on this board who were saying the money would come back to the taxpayers.
     
  10. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2002
    Messages:
    44,256
    Likes Received:
    4,001

    never said that, I do sometimes criticize the people who are anti government aid everywhere else but have no problem bailing out big business. but I was pro bailout, didn't like the fact that we bought capital, thought it should have been used as originally set up.
     
  11. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    63,266
    Likes Received:
    43,962
    I don't see much of the AIG funds getting paid off anytime soon - their asset sales have flopped.
     
  12. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2002
    Messages:
    44,256
    Likes Received:
    4,001

    true, probably won't get paid back from AIG. If the money they recieved went to payoff transactions with other banks to prevent them from collasping, so be it.
     
  13. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    63,266
    Likes Received:
    43,962
    That's why it's kind of a cop-out for these other banks (like GS) that benefitted hugely from the AIG bailout to claim that they are completely safe, don't need gov't funding, only participated in the TARP because they were forced to etc - without the taxpayer assistance to AIG they would have been DOA. I really think there should be some way to get $$$ back from them to pay for AIG.
     
  14. juicystream

    juicystream Member

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2001
    Messages:
    30,976
    Likes Received:
    7,692
    What did happen with that 2nd half of money? They seemed eager to use it, and I thought they were going to go with the buying up of toxic debt plan. I thought they were even considering asking for more at one point. Was the mortgage crisis not as bad as predicted? Are they using it as emergency money? Do they even still plan on using it?
     
  15. F.D. Khan

    F.D. Khan Member

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2000
    Messages:
    2,456
    Likes Received:
    11
    What about the billion paid out to John Paulson who paid $22 million for a Lehman Credit default swap!!

    I agree the AIG bailout was a secondary bailout to the banks/ibanks. One concern is that the banks are thinking not as institutions but as individuals. With all these restrictions/caveats to taking tarp funds many execs are pushing bs numbers to raise capital (GS/MS) and then paying these funds back when they probably shouldn't because their execs don't want caps on earnings etc.

    My fear is that they pay it back before they can and that restricts credit and lending which adversely effects everyone.
     
  16. deepblue

    deepblue Member

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2002
    Messages:
    1,648
    Likes Received:
    5
    What? GS etc. collected on legally written contracts from AIG. Just because the AIG swap desk people were idiots and the fact that US government decided to bail them out doesn't mean others should pay for them. GS benefited being part of the chain that is the financial market, just like the auto parts suppliers benefited from the GM bailout.
     
  17. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2002
    Messages:
    44,256
    Likes Received:
    4,001
    Sam makes a legit point, its like the bailout is starting at AIG who is the cause of the mess for a large part writing contracts they never had capital to cover. So its like AIG is now just a government insurer using tax payor money that will never get paid back.

    you're just substituting AIG for government. so you are right, but I think you are being sensitive as usual to someone criticizing wall street bankers which i really don't think was sam's aim.
     
  18. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    63,266
    Likes Received:
    43,962
    What? So they could have just gone Chapter 11 and GS would have been able to extract their 15-20bb in exposure, scot-free, and been fine? Cause that's not what we heard last fall....and I'm inclined to think that, 160bb of public investment later, it probably wasn't the case.

    It's almost as laughable to claim that GS isn't at all at fault for tying up billions of dollars with an overextended counterparty in a business that neither they nor the counterparty fully understood.


    Oh? Well if it's not others, guess who gets to do it? You and me....So you'd rather pay for it yourself? THat's funny, because I recall you b****ing relentlessly for years about tax increases (in particular, yours personally, which I think we established would be pretty minor). Did you have a sudden change of heart and are now willing to foot this bill?
     
  19. deepblue

    deepblue Member

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2002
    Messages:
    1,648
    Likes Received:
    5
    I would guess GS understood the counterparty risks a lot better than AIG. Hey they signed a legal contract that paid them accordingly, it really doesn't matter where the money comes from. We decided to bail out AIG to save the whole financial system, you could argue that benefits everyone.

    BTW, you don't need to make assumptions about my tax situation. Its irrelevant in this thread.
     
  20. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    63,266
    Likes Received:
    43,962
    Obviously they didn't understand them well enough since they had 20 bb tied up with a company that went from impregnable to insolvent overnight. Unless you are telling me that was their risk strategy?
    whatever, you always made it a point before to mention how you personally would be affected. How about you answer the question though, is it more fair for you to have to pay for GS risk taking or for GS to pay?
     

Share This Page