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The Stock Market, will 2024 be like 2020 ?

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by adoo, Dec 8, 2023.

  1. Dr of Dunk

    Dr of Dunk Clutch Crew

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    Next victim lined up ... :D
     
    Andre0087, ArtV, astros123 and 2 others like this.
  2. tochiee22

    tochiee22 Contributing Member

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    You dont like crypto? Lemme guess. Youre over 40/50
     
  3. Dr of Dunk

    Dr of Dunk Clutch Crew

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    Why yes, yes I am. But before you ask and answer any more of your own questions so defensively (lol) - I "love" crypto, but really don't care much about it other than to buy it when it tanks and people start getting pulled back in. Then I sell it "too early" after it skyrockets for a profit. I bought into it back in 2017 and got out of it making a nice sum. I've still got my Cardano paying "dividends" since 2017. Other than my ancient Cardano, I didn't partake in this latest run-up, though. I did have a friend in Solana that took profits and bought a car with the proceeds recently, though.

    BTW, there is a crypto thread in this forum as well as another bitcoin thread (because the bitcoinistas don't like you calling their holy coin crypto, apparently). Those threads are usually good for a few laughs. :D
     
    ROCKSS, CCity Zero and tochiee22 like this.
  4. DonkeyMagic

    DonkeyMagic Contributing Member
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    of course he is older than 8 months.
     
  5. adoo

    adoo Member

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    NFLX is a short candiate, who has risen 82 points, 20%, over the last 2 trading days; it is in extremely over-bought condition.

    using 15 Mar expiration, sold a 25-pt bearish CALL spread,

    when NFLX was trading > 361
    • buy to open an options contract for the 575 strike CALL
    • sell to open an options contract for the 550 strike CALL
    collected a premium of $13.20 in advance; risking $11.80 to win the $13.20

    i am betting that NFLX will close the 500 to 539 gap; that it will close below $550 at March expiration.
    should that come true---the CALL spread becoming worthless---i get to keep the $13.20 premium that was collected in advance.​
     
    #25 adoo, Jan 25, 2024
    Last edited: Jan 25, 2024
    Ziggy likes this.
  6. adoo

    adoo Member

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    correction, when it was trading > 561
     
  7. Ziggy

    Ziggy QUEEN ANON

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    @adoo GIFTED yall w NFLX advice. FREE money
     
  8. adoo

    adoo Member

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    please, i am not qualified to give stock advise.

    after i sold my NFLX bearish CALL spread, the stock went up against me for 3 straight trading days.
    with the RSI at 85 (super extremely over-bought condition), i doubled down on my bet.
    sold another 575/550 CALL spread;
    this time, w NFLX trading ~~ 579, the other side was willing to pay me a premium of $14.5 in advance.

    on this one, i am willing to assume the risk of $10.50 to win $14.50

     
    #28 adoo, Jan 30, 2024
    Last edited: Jan 30, 2024
  9. Ziggy

    Ziggy QUEEN ANON

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    You ARE! Legally. In court and everything. GOOD LUCK
     
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  10. K LoLo

    K LoLo Member

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    I just DCA into things like VOO, VTI, VYM, etc.
     
    Sajan likes this.
  11. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking
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    When we talk about the stock market around here, I'm assuming we mean the US stock market -- mainly the NYSE, Nasdaq. Stocks on these exchanges are dollar-denominated, and with the rampant money printing (and subsequent inflation) that we have experienced over the last 3 years, a dollar is not longer worth a dollar. So yes, the stock market should be at highs -- because it's value is measured in dollars. Remember: The Germans felt rich as they were experiencing rampant inflation in the 1930's. Everything costs more, which means your real purchasing power, net of inflation, likely hasn't moved.

    There is a major risk to the US stock markets, which is that international governments move away from the US Dollar as their reserve currency. This is happening now in places like China and Russia. If it continues to happen, the US can no longer effectively inflate its way out of slow growth or debt by printing dollars. We'll give up our #1 financial advantage (global reserve currency status) and be like the rest of the world. US-backed interests killed Muammar Gaddafi (Libya) when he tried to implement a gold-backed currency for African oil sales. It's a big deal.
     
  12. Space Ghost

    Space Ghost Contributing Member

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    Nobody cares boomer. We are going to the moon and buying lambos. Take your bearish nonsense to the bitcoin thread.

    Meanwhile:
     
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  13. adoo

    adoo Member

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    like invisible fan, you are cutting n pasting someone else false narrative,,

    dispense w projecting your willful ignorance

    .dispense w projecting your willful ignorance

    dispense w projecting your willful ignorance
     
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  14. MexAmercnMoose

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    bwahahaha, congrats to all the dip buyers :D
     
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  15. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Contributing Member

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    What I do this time for Sheldon bot to go crazy?
     
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  16. adoo

    adoo Member

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    MSFT has been a core holding of mine since the last century; i follow it closely and, from time to time, make swing / momentum trades via options.

    the current momentum is to short MSFT, who just reported a great earnings report, but not great enough.

    when MSFT was ~~ 410, sold this bearish CALL spread.


    using 8 Mar expiration, sold a 25-pt bearish CALL spread,

    • buy to open an options contract for the 430 strike CALL
    • sell to open an options contract for the 405 strike CALL
    collected a premium of $12.20 in advance; the other side was willing to pay me $12.20 to assume a potential max risk of $12.80

    i am betting that MSFT will close close below $405 on 8 March expiration.
    should that come true---the CALL spread becoming worthless---i get to keep the $12.20 premium that was collected in advance.
     
    #36 adoo, Jan 31, 2024
    Last edited: Jan 31, 2024
  17. Sajan

    Sajan Member

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  18. Sajan

    Sajan Member

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    NVDA up every day. like clockwork. should be $2000 by end of the year.

    TSLA down 33% in 33 trading days...
    from 265 to 175..
     
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  19. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Contributing Member

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    ETFs can't get enough Mag 7...or is it Mag 6?
     
  20. Dr of Dunk

    Dr of Dunk Clutch Crew

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    Sort of like the Mag 5.5 nowadays.

    It's all about the AI 5 now. lol.
     
    adoo and Sajan like this.

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