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[Poll] How many games does this team win next season?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by harold bingo, Jul 3, 2023.

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How many games does this team win next season

  1. <25

    6 vote(s)
    1.3%
  2. 25-28

    25 vote(s)
    5.3%
  3. 29-32

    70 vote(s)
    15.0%
  4. 33-36

    155 vote(s)
    33.1%
  5. 37-40

    114 vote(s)
    24.4%
  6. 41-44

    65 vote(s)
    13.9%
  7. 45+

    33 vote(s)
    7.1%
  1. lakersuck2

    lakersuck2 Member

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    Tbh rather than the over/under which gives even odds, Alpi or Jalen for MIP might be a fun bet cause of the huge multipliers. If we win over 32 games, someone on the team is gonna be getting a lot of attention.
     
  2. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    The Nets owe an unprotected first-round pick to Houston in 2024 and either unprotected picks or swaps until 2027. Thus, this roster is only going to move in one direction. Any transaction the Nets make will be to increase their present success (by trading future firsts owed them from Phoenix, Dallas and Philly), not to have a fire sale.

    The above excerpt seems to be the main point of his argument. While I agree the Nets don't have any incentive to tank, denying the Rockets good picks should not be as important in building their team. They have 10 future 1st over the next 7 years, but I don't think they want to trade them unless they can get a star. There team depends a lot on guys I like, but not as the number 1 or number 2 scorers. Without a star, they are going to be burning up value without creating value (e.g., tanking), without a good chance of winning a championship, and without developing young players.
     
    AlperenSengun likes this.
  3. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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  4. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    nice avatar
     
    i3artow i3aller, Easy and J.R. like this.
  5. i3artow i3aller

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  6. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

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    32 wins (+/- 2 games)
     
  7. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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    Removed
     
    #247 J.R., Oct 6, 2023
    Last edited: Dec 3, 2023
    CXbby, jim1961 and TimDuncanDonaut like this.
  8. daywalker02

    daywalker02 Member

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    Portland and Houston are going to post a similar record.......that is because Cronin did such a marvelous job speeding up things for 3 ...years.

    You heard it. Seriously but Portland should be content with 27 Wins.
     
  9. J Rock

    J Rock Member

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    I think I voted 33-36 but I think we very well could get 40. As badly as we played we were in many games and just didn’t know how to close out. With vets that won’t happen nearly as much.
     
  10. daywalker02

    daywalker02 Member

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    Yeah, but neither of those veterans are great shooters outside of maybe Reggie Bullock who would not see tons of minutes.

    • Dillon and Fred are decent scorers but I would not lean on them to close out.
    • So basically the ball goes to Jalen Green and Jabari again.
    • Alperen if he is not in foul trouble.
    • Amen can slash to the hoop as well.
    • They had Tari dribbling and setting up plays.
     
    #250 daywalker02, Oct 6, 2023
    Last edited: Oct 6, 2023
  11. Joe Rocket

    Joe Rocket Member

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    Im not getting my hopes up I would say 25 - 30 and I pray im wrong. I think we shoulda got Harden I know lots of people who would disagree with that but the guy never misses the playoffs and would be a MVP caliber trainer for the young guys. Hopefully again we wont need him to make the playoffs.
     
  12. invocux

    invocux Member

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    Sengun wins 3, Jalen 6, FVV 7, Jabari 3, Amen 3 games. 22 wins from individual masterclasses. They dominate in these games score 30+ or make triple double and fukc **** up so we win those games. When they all play good together that's another 10 wins so 32 wins.
     
  13. Joe Rocket

    Joe Rocket Member

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    Memphis and Minnesota at the top of the West thats hilarious lol
     
  14. TimDuncanDonaut

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    Vegas odds for win totals: (as of 10/6/2023)

    Us against west teams
    • Blazers 37.5
    • Utah Jazz 34.5
    • Rockets 31.5
    • Spurs 30.5
    Us against East teams
    • Raptors, Bulls, Nets 37.5
    • Magic, Pacers 35.5
    • Hornets 31.5 | Rockets 31.5
    • Pistons 27.5
    • Wizards 24.5


    In the west,
    1. agree we should be over the Spurs, also agree that Spurs is not a low 20 win team.
    2. Many might say Blazers is too high at 37.5. They're probably an upper 20's, low 30's team.​

    In the east,
    1. we likely can edge out Hornets.
    2. Also hope is Rockets can over take the Magic. Some bragging rights for Jabari (over Paolo).
    3. Pacers as much as a darling team it is; their defense was bad last year, they did add Bruce Brown so we'll see. 35 wins seems fair for Pacers as the hype didn't put too many wins for Vegas.
    4. Raptors and Nets at 37.5 might be a bit too high, I would go under on them.

    These neighboring teams are our benchmark comparison teams for this year. Instead of looking at the play-in, a more realistic goal is to have a better record than the Magic, Pacers, Hornets and Jazz.
     
    #254 TimDuncanDonaut, Oct 6, 2023
    Last edited: Oct 6, 2023
  15. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    While 13th might be right, its going to be hard to swallow (for me) that all this off-season maneuvering, signing and drafting amounts to still being a bottom 3 team in the west.
     
  16. FrontRunner

    FrontRunner Member

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  17. Qan

    Qan Member

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  18. elvis

    elvis Member

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    82-0. Book it.
     
  19. Corrosion

    Corrosion Member

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    IF it goes down like that and the best they can manage is 32 wins, we're hoping and praying for the ping pong balls to go our way or sending OKC a pick in the 5-10 range.

    I've had enough of cheering for ping pong balls ....


    With the lack of shooting on this team, 32 does feel like the proper range. They need to figure out how to pitch a few shut outs....
     
    TimDuncanDonaut likes this.
  20. CXbby

    CXbby Member

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    I love stat based projections due to their objectivity, I’m also a big fan of Pelton. Problem is these projections, for certain teams, are purely subjective. For instance, he admits his Timberwolves projection is heavily influenced by his view of Edward’s development. That’s not a stat based projection, that’s just an opinion(that may very well be right). So for his Rockets projection, it is wholly dependent on how he views Jalen, Sengun and Jabari develop next year - that’s a totally subjective analysis. Maybe he’s expecting an incremental, typical improvement curve, meanwhile personally I’m expecting an atypically larger leap due to how stunted and misused they all were last year from the head honcho offense. I guarantee you Pelton is not taking that context into account.

    Totally unscientific and just winging it, I expect each of those three players to outperform his expectations by 2 wins, so +6 which puts us at 38.8 which is much closer to my personal expectations.
     
    #260 CXbby, Oct 7, 2023
    Last edited: Oct 7, 2023

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