I write down the rankings of: Mlbpipeline, baseball America, fangraphs, Apollo, and Astros future. I only use 1-30 on all. Any player on 1+ list but not on all get assigned a 31 for each one missing. Then I add them up and lust them lowest number first. Then I will add or subtract based on factors. Each promotion in season is -1 If young for level -1 If old for level +1 Hitters If K rate is under 18% -1 K rate over 25% +1 BB/K is over 0.75 -1 BB/K is under 0.25 +1 Pitchers K/9 is over 9 =-1 K/9 is under 6= +1 K/BB is over 3.0= -1 K/BB is under 2.0= +1 Then +2 if major injury during year And finally -2 if one of you guys mentions him as one of your top prospects. Tell me what you think - I just decided this spur of the moment. Now I will see how my list ends up. Feel free to make suggestions.
Waner Luciano is a really interest prospect. Only, 18 years old and like 180 lbs, but he already has extra base power. Really productive early, but I am concerned about his strikeouts and contact rate.
Man I think you’d be surprised at how many people nerd out about prospects. I have an excel model I dump fangraphs stat exports into that produces a 20-80 grade for each prospect using weighted values for stats, age relative to league, defensive value, and pedigree; I update it weekly and update a Top 30 each month during the season. I realize I’m a supernerd but I think a lot of people follow it really closely. Prospecting is a fascinating exercise in following long term development and futurism.
I think it had more to do with the typo phrase "lust them" than it has anything to do with what Id actually did to determine his prospects list.
5 HRs in the 6 games since he turned 20. I know players add power as they mature, but I didn't think it worked quite that suddenly.
Yea.... I just go to 10 or so Corpus and Sugar Land games a year and watch them with my own eyes. I'm not building a spread sheet for "fun". I do enough of that for work.
Remove the first 15 at bats for Ryan Clifford in which he went 0/15 with 10 strikeouts and he's batting .290 in A+ with about the same k rate that he had in A- The fact that he's been able to right the ship after an aggressive promotion (although he's older for his draft year) is much more impressive than I think we give him credit for. Still a long way from the majors but hopefully in 2024 he spends most of his time in AA with a promo to AAA later in the year and debuts sometime in 2025. Unless he really forces Dana's hand next year which isn't out of the question given Dana's approach to prospects and Clifford's mature approach
I appreciate all of the work all of you nerds do. I learn a lot from reading everybody's work. But to me it's work and I'm not spending near the amount of time working on my hobby as some of y'all do. Much respect
Jackson Loftin hit his 5th HR tonight. He’s been terrible this year but has had a great (and possibly career-saving) July. Hector Nieves also hit a HR.
2018 4th rd pick OF Alex McKenna was released today. Was a high ceiling college pick with plus athleticism and a power/speed combo. He looked good in the lower levels but just struck out way too much once he got to AA. He managed to play 83 games in AAA over the last 2 seasons.
