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538 has Rockets as title favorites

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Broford, Oct 12, 2019.

  1. curbur

    curbur Member

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    lmao the 538 player projections models have Lebron as ony a 'Borderline Allstar' this year. That won'tchange the fact ESPN will be all over the Lakers every year he's on them.
     
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  2. BMoney

    BMoney Contributing Member

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    She won by 3 million votes. That election was flat out stolen. Weird stuff happened in Florida and North Carolina.
     
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  3. Gray_Jay

    Gray_Jay Member

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    Doubt the GARM is the place to discuss the 2016 election. I'll merely say that I disagree with that analysis.

    IMHO, and I could easily be wrong, 538 tries to get it right with statistical analysis. Under sampling of right-wing, rural voters was a systemic issue in 2016 polls, and to their credit, the pollsters seem to have adjusted their methodology, e.g., polling for the O'Rourke-Cruz election was consistently around Cruz 2-4, which is how the election turned out.

    On the Rockets, specifically Gordon, I think they are evaluating Gordon on his entire body of work, whereas the Rockets are hoping (and putting their money where their mouth is) that Gordon's last two months of play is more indicative of his true value. For Harden's value, it's hardly a secret that the max NBA contract is often the biggest bargain in sports management. Certainly was the case for LeBron and a bunch of others.
     
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  4. BigBum

    BigBum Member

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    538
    Thunder 47 wins
    Lakers 47 wins
    Blazers 41 wins
    Kings 34 wins

    I think Kings are better than thunder.
    Mine is
    Kings 40
    Thunder 34
     
    topfive likes this.
  5. topfive

    topfive CF OG

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    Woj isn't really a great analyst, imo. He's great a gathering intel, but his entire shtick is relying on what other people tell him. That's how he's made his reputation.
     
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  6. LorneMalvo

    LorneMalvo Member

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    To repeat this for 3 straight years makes it not even somewhat rude to call you dumb.
     
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  7. thekad

    thekad Member

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    Note they have Paul adding more value than Westbrook over the next two seasons. And the Rockets gave up multiple firsts for that ridiculously stupid swap.
     
  8. BigBum

    BigBum Member

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    I think the fair trade would be

    Paul + 1 First + 1 Swap = Westbrook
     
  9. Will

    Will Clutch Crew
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    Nate Silver of 538 was actually the guy who (among the objective analysts) rated Trump's odds the highest, at around 35%. He was attacked for it, but his reasoning was sound and well quantified, and he was vindicated.
     
  10. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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  11. RudyTBag

    RudyTBag Contributing Member
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    Looks about right. Bucks/Lakers/Clippers are on the highest tier, and the Rockets with a healthy Eric Gordon are RIGHT THERE in the mix...
     
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  12. BallSoHarden

    BallSoHarden Member

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    When was the last time Houston beat the Bucks ? I just dont think Hou or LAL match up with them, and they are likely getting Convington or JJ Reddick, two players Hou should get but won't be able to. I would bet on the Bucks, but no way Im doing that against the Rox in the finals.

    It just makes too much sense for the NBA to create a Lakers/Bucks finals.
     
    Xerobull likes this.
  13. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist
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    I don't buy it. Lakers, Clippers and Bucks are in the top tier imo. Rockets and Sixers have a chance if they make an upgrade over and above the buyout/trade additions that the top tier will make.

    In the Rockets case, it is practically impossible that we will improve more than the Lakers/Clippers if, for example, they add Iguodala. Those dreaming of buyout signings also should beware, the Los Angeles teams are both contending for the first time in a long time and players will flock there. Guys like Ariza, Iguodala, etc are going to go home.
     
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  14. daywalker02

    daywalker02 Member

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    538 could be owned by Ferntit.
     
  15. daywalker02

    daywalker02 Member

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    I thought Trump had a real chance though, RW populists at that time and even now do throughout the world.
     
  16. rockbox

    rockbox Around before clutchcity.com

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    He's stating people often do dumb ****
     
  17. napalm06

    napalm06 Huge Flopping Fan

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    It's gotta be Milwaukee. Having the gold paved road through the East with the 1 seed is so valuable.
     
  18. D-rock

    D-rock Member

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    Disagree, both Bucks and Clips losses were close games. Bucks spanked the Lakers.

    Rockets are much more dangerous than fans and media realize. Rockets will contend this season even without additions. Although acquiring upgrades at starting 4 and backup 5 would make things easier.
     
  19. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    DOESN'T NATE KNOW THERE'S NO POLITICS IN THE GARM. NO POLITICS IN THE GARM.

    :p
     
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  20. napalm06

    napalm06 Huge Flopping Fan

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    Complaining about Politics in the GARM belongs in Feedback.
     

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