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Harden's prolific 5 year run

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by durvasa, Mar 11, 2019.

  1. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    Harden's reputation as one of the game's great scorers, historically, has been cemented this year.

    In particular, he right now averaging just over 30 ppg over his last 5 seasons. I charted his career path of points per game as a moving 5-season average, and compared to some other prominent scorers over the last 40 years. Here's what it looks like:

    [​IMG]

    Harden is the green curve over on the right. He's on track to have the high ppg run over 5 seasons since Michael Jordan (just a hair above Kobe Bryant's and Allen Iverson's best 5 year run by PPG, right now).
     
    #1 durvasa, Mar 11, 2019
    Last edited: Mar 11, 2019
  2. Severe Rockets Fan

    Severe Rockets Fan Takin it one stage at a time...

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    Harden's is so much smaller compared to the others...but at least it's sticking straight up and not sagging down like most of the others...interesting...I'm thinking that's significant.

    But seriously, It would be cool if we could see what his 5 years looks like to those other players' five best years.
     
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  3. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    To clarify, the chart is a moving 5-season average. Each data point shows a player's average points per game for that season and the prior 4 seasons.
     
    ramotadab likes this.
  4. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
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    Is there a reason why you chose a certain starting point for each player?
     
  5. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    Each starting point is 5 years in, since each data point is PPG over a 5 year period.
     
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  6. Zboy

    Zboy Member

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    [​IMG]
     
  7. dkim1984

    dkim1984 Member

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    Just something I thought, but if you shrink down those rolling 5-year averages to observation periods equal to Harden's career to date, it would make it clearer how impressive this is. However, it also is a little unfair to players that started out scoring a bunch. Harden was bench bound so that dampens his initial 5-yr average. Shaq, MJ, KD, etc all started off scoring a lot in their rookie campaigns.

    Edit: like Kobe is a great comparison to Harden (if you're simply measuring scoring output), and Harden's got him in rate and level although he did have shaq for some time.
     
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  8. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
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    I see. We can see how fast a guy peaked.
     
  9. threepointshot3

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    Well his last few games been god awful
     

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